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Proving the lift

Receipts, the weekly settled verdict, and why we will say nothing rather than manufacture a win.

The question you get asked is whether it worked. This is the machinery that answers it without flattering you.

Receipts

A receipt opens the moment something ships, waits out that engine's propagation window, then classifies. Confirmed is awarded only when the before and after ranges separate. Which rate it reads depends on what the fix can move, and the answer is stored on the receipt rather than assumed: work on a page you own is judged on the cited rate, where the answer names you and cites one of your own domains, and off site work that earns a mention in somebody else's words is judged on the named rate, because the citation that follows belongs to the publisher. Both sides of one receipt are always the same rate, and a receipt created before we recorded the rate says that instead of naming one. A receipt with no baseline refuses to classify at all rather than manufacture a win, and regressions render with the same prominence as lifts, including on the report you send your client.

The weekly verdict

Movement settles once a week and then stops changing, so two people opening the same client link cannot read two different stories. That is a statistics decision, not a UI preference: re-reading a dashboard daily produces a false "real change" roughly 15.5 percent of the time, against 2.08 percent when the comparison is made once per week.

Note

Plenty of receipts sit at trending and never reach confirmed. That is the instrument working. A tool that confirms everything is a tool nobody can defend.

Canary phrases

Plant a distinctive line on a page, and when that exact wording turns up inside an AI answer you know which page fed it. On save we scan every stored answer first and tell you whether the phrase already appears, so the plant is clean.